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Red32
17120.7
19844.1
21296.1
Blue64
167516.4
206227.2
1677.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2454040801001203264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#5
20.70.4
11.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
2062
#14
27.20.8
22.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2129
#48
6.10.4
7.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
1675
#39
16.40.7
17.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1984
#59
4.10.4
8.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
167
#45
7.01.1
10.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End