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Red42
16615.0
109111.9
815.9
Blue28
1677.0
749.6
165211.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26280102040504228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#2
15.00.8
12.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1652
#37
11.80.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1091
#26
11.91.3
7.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
74
#40
9.60.0
11.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
81
#52
5.91.3
5.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
167
#45
7.00.0
10.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End