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Red44
14123.5
214310.6
90411.2
Blue12
26911.2
207710.9
18646.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3536102030405060704412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#4
23.50.7
16.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
269
#22
11.21.9
14.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
#41
11.20.7
12.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2077
#32
10.91.9
15.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2143
#18
10.60.7
6.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1864
#46
6.71.9
4.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End