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Red34
181612.8
165211.8
12686.8
Blue50
18646.7
18504.8
203910.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28120204060803450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#15
12.80.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2039
#27
10.01.8
7.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1652
#37
11.80.7
5.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1864
#46
6.73.0
2.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1268
#58
6.80.7
6.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1850
#29
4.81.8
3.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End