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Red28
130611.5
26678.0
253510.9
Blue52
19889.3
211612.4
17120.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323315202535404550552852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#12
11.50.3
12.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
171
#5
20.71.6
14.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2535
#20
10.90.3
11.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2116
#35
12.41.6
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2667
#54
8.00.3
8.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1988
#34
9.31.5
7.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End