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Red130
12140.2
4038.9
147418.7
Blue38
173512.8
22818.4
176111.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions963405015020013038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
40.20.7
37.137.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
228
Unranked
18.40.1
18.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40
Unranked
38.90.7
35.836.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.1
1735
Unranked
12.80.1
12.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1474
Unranked
18.70.7
15.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1761
Unranked
11.10.1
11.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End