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Red40
199121.0
13119.9
12511.1
Blue16
55519.9
17211.2
115319.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080904016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
Unranked
21.00.2
21.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
555
Unranked
19.90.6
20.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
19.90.2
20.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1153
Unranked
19.90.6
20.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
125
Unranked
11.10.2
11.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
172
Unranked
11.20.6
11.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End