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Red130
147418.7
4038.9
12140.2
Blue82
151928.7
12631.1
102719.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99765015020013082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
40.20.6
39.640.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
126
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40
Unranked
38.90.6
38.438.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
1519
Unranked
28.70.0
28.628.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1474
Unranked
18.70.6
18.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1027
Unranked
19.50.0
19.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End