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Red70
17626.9
173310.6
18118.8
Blue26
80910.1
46717.3
19011.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424802060801001201407026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
26.91.3
22.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
467
Unranked
17.31.1
18.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
Unranked
18.81.3
15.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
190
Unranked
11.61.1
14.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1733
Unranked
10.61.8
5.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
809
Unranked
10.11.1
14.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End