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Red38
17211.2
17316.4
18118.8
Blue88
12140.2
31915.7
12631.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36890501001503888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
18.80.2
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
121
Unranked
40.20.3
34.835.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
16.40.2
15.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
126
Unranked
31.10.3
30.630.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
172
Unranked
11.20.3
10.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
319
Unranked
15.70.3
16.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End