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Red36
16616.5
115319.9
19011.6
Blue30
173512.8
5299.5
147418.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5626040801001203630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
Unranked
19.90.8
22.421.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1474
Unranked
18.70.0
12.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
Unranked
16.50.8
15.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1735
Unranked
12.80.0
9.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
190
Unranked
11.60.8
13.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
529
Unranked
9.50.0
7.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End