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Red40
176111.1
199121.0
207915.0
Blue30
146824.2
206710.7
81110.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40360102030506070804030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
Unranked
21.00.0
18.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1468
Unranked
24.20.3
20.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2079
Unranked
15.00.0
13.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2067
Unranked
10.70.3
9.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1761
Unranked
11.10.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
811
Unranked
10.40.4
7.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End