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Red106
146824.2
199121.0
173512.8
Blue66
5299.5
173310.6
105826.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503402040608010010666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
Unranked
24.22.9
19.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1058
Unranked
26.61.5
21.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
Unranked
21.02.9
18.221.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1733
Unranked
10.61.7
6.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1735
Unranked
12.83.6
9.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
529
Unranked
9.51.5
7.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End