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Red40
23812.6
81110.4
173310.6
Blue66
168519.8
147418.7
206710.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543060801001204066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
Unranked
12.60.7
10.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
1685
Unranked
19.81.3
18.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1733
Unranked
10.60.7
8.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1474
Unranked
18.71.3
13.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
811
Unranked
10.40.7
8.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2067
Unranked
10.71.3
8.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End