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Red4
12511.1
110018.6
17626.9
Blue40
147418.7
13119.9
17316.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54410206080100120440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
26.92.4
25.022.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
131
Unranked
19.90.2
14.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
Unranked
18.62.4
15.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1474
Unranked
18.70.1
12.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
125
Unranked
11.12.4
11.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
173
Unranked
16.40.1
15.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End