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Red70
128914.9
151928.7
176111.1
Blue32
8820.9
80910.1
199121.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455501001507032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
28.71.2
24.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1991
Unranked
21.01.1
21.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1289
Unranked
14.91.4
13.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
88
Unranked
20.91.1
22.521.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1761
Unranked
11.11.2
8.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
809
Unranked
10.11.1
10.49.3
Auto
Teleop
End