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Red46
979.6
57115.6
147418.7
Blue78
151928.7
46717.3
199121.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36660501001504678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
Unranked
18.70.3
14.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
1519
Unranked
28.70.8
25.326.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
571
Unranked
15.60.3
16.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1991
Unranked
21.00.8
20.020.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
97
Unranked
9.60.3
8.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
467
Unranked
17.30.8
16.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End