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Red100
275334.7
235419.4
12013.4
Blue70
306224.8
300917.2
60428.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596505010015010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2753
#24
34.72.0
32.234.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
604
#66
28.80.3
26.026.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2354
#13
19.42.0
17.219.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3062
#50
24.80.4
21.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
120
#78
13.42.0
10.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3009
#72
17.20.4
16.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End