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Red42
300917.2
31415.4
4816.7
Blue74
22231.4
38621.3
248611.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496302040801001201401604274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#72
17.20.5
17.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
222
#5
31.40.6
29.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
#74
16.70.4
18.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
386
#14
21.30.8
19.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
314
#42
15.40.4
14.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2486
#45
11.30.6
12.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End