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Red90
139014.8
258727.8
150332.3
Blue64
222017.9
54825.8
55823.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676740506080901009064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.2
26.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
548
#43
25.80.2
23.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2587
#20
27.81.4
25.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
558
#39
23.00.2
25.425.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1390
#79
14.81.2
14.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2220
#59
17.90.2
19.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End