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Red50
258727.8
81113.3
265515.3
Blue122
126622.5
11831.6
153829.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54830204010012014016050122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#20
27.80.4
26.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
118
#29
31.62.1
30.832.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
#60
15.30.4
16.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1538
#35
29.42.1
27.029.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
811
#48
13.30.4
14.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1266
#22
22.52.1
21.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End