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Red70
153829.4
153521.0
35318.5
Blue83
49214.7
15527.7
142126.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968506080907083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#35
29.40.0
29.229.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
155
#28
27.70.7
27.428.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1535
#34
21.00.0
21.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1421
#58
26.60.7
28.128.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
353
#69
18.50.0
18.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
492
#23
14.70.8
12.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End