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Red50
81218.8
84221.2
219611.7
Blue86
172634.7
237512.2
284417.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445102060801005086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#14
21.20.4
15.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
34.72.6
24.126.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
812
#10
18.80.3
19.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2844
#17
17.83.0
13.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2196
#42
11.70.4
9.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2375
#29
12.23.0
12.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End