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Qual 32009 Arizona Regional
Red78
3921.8
182822.7
257020.4
Blue46
84221.2
69813.5
301417.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543902060801007846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#13
22.71.7
17.4→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.5
842
#14
21.20.4
15.5→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
39
#3
21.82.1
22.7→24.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
3014
#8
17.94.9
17.9→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2570
#7
20.42.1
12.3→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.8
698
#9
13.50.4
12.8→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—