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Qual 382009 Arizona Regional
Red26
301417.9
24499.1
210215.2
Blue12
26578.6
237512.2
248610.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464710203040607080902612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3014
#8
17.91.7
20.7→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.7
2375
#29
12.22.9
18.9→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2102
#4
15.21.0
16.0→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
2486
#37
10.81.7
13.1→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2449
#41
9.11.7
9.4→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2657
#36
8.62.9
14.9→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—