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Red32
241310.4
121215.9
237512.2
Blue14
69813.5
213412.6
179811.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060803214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#25
15.90.6
17.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
698
#9
13.52.5
17.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2375
#29
12.20.6
15.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2134
#28
12.62.5
14.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2413
#22
10.40.6
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1798
#35
11.02.5
12.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End