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Red74
13249.5
49817.6
172634.7
Blue42
116518.1
121215.9
248610.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504002060807442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.72.0
22.124.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
1165
#21
18.10.0
14.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
498
#19
17.62.1
13.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1212
#25
15.90.0
14.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1324
#40
9.52.1
12.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2486
#37
10.80.0
12.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End