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Red22
163320.5
248610.8
219611.7
Blue71
81218.8
301916.5
284021.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46520204060801002271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1633
#15
20.51.9
23.521.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
21.81.6
19.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2196
#42
11.71.9
11.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
812
#10
18.81.0
18.119.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2486
#37
10.81.2
11.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3019
#24
16.51.6
12.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End