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Red90
101318.8
241310.4
172634.7
Blue44
149217.3
13249.5
266211.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801001209044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.8
33.435.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
1492
#26
17.30.8
14.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1013
#12
18.82.7
16.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2662
#39
11.70.7
11.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2413
#22
10.42.7
4.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1324
#40
9.50.8
8.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End