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Qual 622009 Arizona Regional
Red48
283915.9
69813.5
101318.8
Blue36
99117.0
241412.9
24067.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060801004836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1013
#12
18.80.1
19.6→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
991
#31
17.00.1
16.5→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2839
#6
15.90.1
16.4→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
2414
#27
12.90.1
13.2→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
698
#9
13.50.1
13.9→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.5
2406
#44
7.00.1
7.1→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—