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Red10
58910.7
249611.7
68717.3
Blue0
25767.1
302013.8
151513.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39340206080100120100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#20
17.32.4
13.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3020
#28
13.82.9
12.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2496
#37
11.72.4
11.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1515
#36
13.72.9
13.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
589
#39
10.72.4
13.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2576
#52
7.12.9
8.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End