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Red42
302013.8
300113.3
69115.6
Blue10
263713.4
414.6
145210.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4243102030506070804210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#14
15.60.1
15.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4
#38
14.62.7
15.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3020
#28
13.80.1
13.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2637
#16
13.41.6
11.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3001
#24
13.30.1
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1452
#48
10.82.7
14.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End