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Red65
151513.7
113817.5
164418.8
Blue40
132315.4
97325.1
414.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455402060801006540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.6
16.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
973
#10
25.11.1
23.322.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.50.9
17.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1323
#40
15.41.1
16.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1515
#36
13.71.6
12.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4
#38
14.61.1
13.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End