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Red38
98110.9
312013.2
166116.3
Blue40
227210.0
98017.2
99510.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060801001203840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#19
16.30.7
17.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
980
#25
17.20.0
17.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3120
#53
13.20.7
13.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
995
#41
10.50.0
12.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
981
#54
10.90.7
15.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2272
#51
10.00.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End