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Red26
69220.1
285421.1
145810.1
Blue64
281318.3
214415.4
76622.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61623040507080902664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
Unranked
21.12.2
23.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
766
Unranked
22.90.1
25.025.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
20.11.8
23.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2813
Unranked
18.30.1
20.020.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1458
Unranked
10.11.8
14.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2144
Unranked
15.40.1
16.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End