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Red68
60430.2
76622.9
301310.9
Blue40
196711.8
214415.4
151616.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694202060801001201406840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
Unranked
30.20.1
30.430.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
1516
Unranked
16.90.3
16.115.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
766
Unranked
22.90.1
23.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
2144
Unranked
15.40.3
16.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3013
Unranked
10.90.1
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1967
Unranked
11.80.3
13.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End