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Red74
186825.8
312913.3
151616.9
Blue6
196711.8
145810.1
8405.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58270204080100120746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
Unranked
25.81.0
26.027.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
1967
Unranked
11.81.3
13.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1516
Unranked
16.91.0
15.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1458
Unranked
10.11.3
11.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3129
Unranked
13.31.7
11.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
840
Unranked
5.61.3
6.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End