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Red48
85223.8
10026.1
304511.1
Blue40
186825.8
11418.1
66817.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63702040801001204840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
Unranked
26.10.8
27.626.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1868
Unranked
25.81.5
27.526.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
852
Unranked
23.80.8
26.625.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
114
Unranked
18.12.0
21.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3045
Unranked
11.11.1
10.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
668
Unranked
17.61.5
20.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End