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Red50
66216.4
297213.9
216423.7
Blue52
16918.1
177722.7
225912.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6335020801001205052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#26
23.70.5
23.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
22.70.7
22.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
662
#39
16.40.8
19.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2259
#20
12.91.1
7.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2972
#27
13.90.8
16.615.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1691
#23
8.11.1
9.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End