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Red60
17998.5
155217.5
20728.5
Blue46
158322.7
124513.0
299615.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55470204060801006046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#2
28.50.3
29.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
22.70.1
22.522.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1552
#19
17.50.5
16.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2996
#30
15.50.1
14.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#43
8.50.5
8.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1245
#35
13.00.1
10.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End