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Red48
134816.1
29457.2
177722.7
Blue36
133913.1
140813.3
141015.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474102060801004836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.1
22.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1410
#25
15.50.5
16.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
#17
16.10.1
15.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1408
#18
13.30.5
13.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2945
#47
7.20.2
7.88.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1339
#32
13.10.5
11.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End