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Red52
158417.2
240017.2
225912.9
Blue48
20368.5
135711.1
208316.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060801005248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2400
#24
17.20.5
16.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2083
#42
16.11.2
16.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.20.5
16.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1357
#46
11.11.2
9.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2259
#20
12.90.5
12.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2036
#36
8.51.2
7.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End