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Red54
115830.2
20728.5
208316.1
Blue85
161924.1
134816.1
177722.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8159401001205485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
31.230.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1619
#12
24.10.6
23.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
207
#2
28.50.4
29.629.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
22.70.4
22.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2083
#42
16.10.6
17.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1348
#17
16.10.4
15.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End