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Qual 112009 Connecticut Regional
Red40
190222.5
17314.8
83910.9
Blue58
159218.3
286215.4
69435.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4664020801001201404058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#41
22.50.5
21.6→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.6
694
#3
35.20.3
29.7→29.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
173
#44
14.80.5
17.7→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.5
1592
#9
18.30.2
18.4→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
839
#32
10.90.6
8.7→8.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
2862
#40
15.40.3
13.2→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—