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Red74
23622.8
110032.2
99913.8
Blue60
57118.1
19521.4
71626.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57552040801007460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.2
30.631.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
716
#16
26.30.4
16.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
#15
22.81.4
13.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
195
#42
21.40.4
18.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#43
13.81.4
13.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
571
#50
18.10.3
19.619.9
Auto
Teleop
End