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Qual 552009 Connecticut Regional
Red36
286215.4
222818.2
169915.4
Blue72
54915.2
216816.9
50014.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553802060801003672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#23
18.20.8
18.8→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
2168
#47
16.92.7
13.6→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2862
#40
15.41.4
17.9→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
549
#48
15.21.6
13.3→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1699
#28
15.40.8
15.9→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
500
#46
14.62.7
13.3→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—