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Qual 622009 Connecticut Regional
Red82
206715.2
57118.1
287728.0
Blue42
22816.7
222818.2
24979.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5740020801008242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#13
28.01.3
24.5→25.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.8
2228
#23
18.20.0
18.0→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
571
#50
18.11.3
16.8→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
228
#29
16.70.1
18.7→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2067
#51
15.21.3
13.7→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
2497
#56
9.30.1
6.0→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—