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Red30
63918.5
252312.8
99913.8
Blue49
83910.9
169915.4
15717.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50422060803049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#39
18.51.0
19.418.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
157
#35
17.80.3
17.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
#43
13.81.5
15.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1699
#28
15.40.3
15.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2523
#19
12.81.5
14.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
839
#32
10.90.3
10.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End