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Red30
226518.2
283616.3
206715.2
Blue57
24119.6
43314.3
57118.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060801003057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2265
#52
18.20.7
14.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
241
#26
19.60.7
14.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2836
#60
16.34.2
16.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
571
#50
18.10.7
18.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2067
#51
15.20.7
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
433
#34
14.30.7
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End