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Quarterfinal 2-32009 Curie Division
Red116
18837.2
32920.4
39939.9
Blue58
37531.8
162233.5
19027.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019340608012014016018011658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#4
39.90.3
40.7→41.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
1622
#47
33.50.6
34.1→33.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
188
#9
37.20.3
38.0→38.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
375
#5
31.80.6
32.4→31.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
329
#63
20.40.3
21.2→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
190
#50
27.00.6
27.6→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—